Styles make fights, and
Shakur Stevenson and
William Zepeda couldn't be any more different in how they fight.
Stevenson and Zepeda will clash for Stevenson’s WBC lightweight title on Saturday in the
co-main event of “Ring III” at Louis Armstrong Stadium in Queens, New York, on DAZN PPV. Stevenson (23-0, 11 KOs), a slick boxer from Newark, New Jersey, enters his third title defense after stopping late-replacement Josh Padley in the ninth round on Feb. 22.
Zepeda, of San Mateo Atenco, Mexico, has begun his career 33-0 with 27 knockouts largely due to his nonstop pressure and volume. Zepeda became the interim WBC lightweight champion with a split decision victory over Tevin Farmer in November, then
defended it in a rematch vs Farmer, winning by majority decision on March 29.
Stevenson and Zepeda couldn’t be any more different stylistically. Will Stevenson’s defense and counter-punching carry the day again? Or will Zepeda’s relentlessness and ability to push the pace lead him to the upset?
Here are the keys to victory for Stevenson and Zepeda on Saturday night:
Shakur Stevenson
Work the body
The best way to slow anyone down is to invest in the body early and often. Against a fighter who throws as many as Zepeda, that will be vital for Stevenson.
Stevenson, 28, is an underrated body puncher and has notched multiple stoppages because of it, including his ninth-round technical knockout of Padley. The emphasis he put on attacking the Englishman's body, before he dropped him three times with shots to the midriff, would go a long way toward slowing down Zepeda’s relentless attack.
Whether it's ending combinations to the body or splitting Zepeda’s combinations with hooks and uppercuts downstairs, Stevenson has to attack downstairs consistently. And if he can find sustained success, that could set the stage for Stevenson to stop Zepeda late in the fight and land the statement victory he’s been seeking since moving up to 135 pounds.
Stand your ground
Stevenson’s reflexes and ability to counter-punch in the pocket are among the best in boxing. If Stevenson is going to get the statement victory he’s seeking, standing within firing range, making Zepeda miss and making him pay is likely his best path.
Across 22 rounds against Zepeda, Farmer, who is a slick southpaw like Stevenson, did his best work when he was countering Zepeda. The most significant single punch that landed across their two fights came when Farmer slipped Zepeda’s jab and then landed a straight left hand to drop the Mexican southpaw in the fourth round of their first meeting.
Stevenson shouldn’t plan to always be in range, but he definitely shouldn’t shy away from being in the pocket against Zepeda. If Stevenson can stand at range and constantly pick Zepeda off and counter him to the head and body with hooks and uppercuts as he looks to close the gap, he’ll have the inside track to getting his hand raised.
Don’t get drawn into a slugfest
Stevenson unquestionably needs to win an exciting fight against Zepeda if he’s going to find his way back into the good graces of most boxing fans. However, that doesn’t mean Stevenson needs to be willing to engage in a fight where he and Zepeda are trading blows for 12 rounds.
Stevenson can win a compelling fight without it turning into a slugfest. If the Newark native is standing in range, splitting Zepeda’s timing with power punches and landing big counter-punchers, those shots could be enough to outweigh the relentless volume from Zepeda.
Stevenson can’t afford to win another boring decision. There needs to be some semblance of drama or a willingness on his part to take a much more offensive-minded approach. But if Stevenson deviates too much from his style and gives Zepeda the kind of fight he wants, that could set the stage for the latter to pull off the upset.
William Zepeda
Use feints
Walking straight into range and just throwing punches won’t be anywhere near enough for Zepeda, especially against a fighter who is as good defensively as Stevenson.
Zepeda, 29, has to use feints to try to get Stevenson to react and get out of position. From there, Zepeda can use his patented volume and power shots to try and turn the tide in his favor against the champion.
The Mexican southpaw has to show some nuance to his game if he’s going to have a shot against a fighter as skilled as Stevenson. If Zepeda can establish his jab and use feints off of it, then his path toward an upset becomes much more feasible.
Mix up your attack
Much like the previous point regarding Zepeda's need to show more nuance in his game, he can’t afford to focus solely on the head or body against a fighter with Stevenson’s defensive prowess.
Much of Zepeda’s best work against Farmer came when he was throwing combinations to the head and body. Zepeda needs to attack both areas with combinations if he wants to have any chance of cracking Stevenson’s defensive shell.
If Zepeda can find some success with that plan of attack, it could throw Stevenson off his game and maybe even slow him down as the fight progresses.
Get off to a fast start
If Stevenson can get into an early rhythm, Zepeda’s chances at pulling off the win become minuscule at best.
Zepeda needs to come out of the gates firing and take some of the early rounds. From there, it could force Stevenson to feel like he has to catch up and fight more aggressively, which would play right into Zepeda’s hands.
Zepeda’s best shot at winning is turning it into a firefight against Stevenson. If Zepeda gets off to a fast start and banks some early rounds because of his volume and pressure, his chances at upsetting Stevenson increase exponentially and it could set the stage for a compelling second half of the fight.